Posts Tagged ‘bonds’
There’s a Lot Riding on the Current Regime Change
Regime changes are hard. Take, for instance, the current regime change from disinflation and falling rates to inflation and rising rates. As the previous regime lasted for over 40 years, there is a generation of investors who know nothing other than that experience. What makes regime changes difficult is that it requires investors to “unlearn”…
Read MoreTrick or treat? What we’re looking at as we head into October
September has a bad reputation as market seasonality suggests that September can often be expected to be a negative month for the markets.
Read MoreMore pain in Bondland
Bonds are having a bad day. In the aftermath of yesterday’s meeting of the Federal Reserve, rates are moving higher causing both stocks and bonds to move lower.
Read MoreThe Trouble with Bonds
Whatever the Federal Reserve’s current and future decisions are regarding interest rates, it’s an important reminder that the Fed only controls the direction of short-term interest rates. The market controls the longer end of the curve. U.S. Treasury bond yields are a function of three factors: term premium, inflation, and economic growth expectations. Term premium,…
Read MoreThe Jackson Hole Summit: Stay Calm or Run for the Hills?
Investors are forever chasing the next bit of economic news in the hope of determining the financial markets’ direction. Personally, for money management, I let rules-based systems guide me and view the news more as background noise. This week, there will be much said about the Jackson Hole Economic Summit, a three-day annual international conference…
Read MoreA Look at the Rise & Fall of the U.S. Dollar
For decades, the U.S. Dollar (USD) has reigned supreme in global trade and capital flows. However, this dominance is being challenged, as many countries seek alternatives to reduce their reliance on the United States.
Read MoreIs March Madness Really Over?
In some ways, the 3-week period leading up to the end of the quarter was the market’s version of March Madness, as underdogs have become heroes and some familiar names have clocked the best market performance.
Read MoreWeakness in Commercial Real Estate May Signal Trouble
REIT investors are having a terrible year. The guiding principle of relative strength investing is to invest in what’s strong and avoid what is weak.
Read MoreThe Fed Announcement’s Implications for Banks
It’s about to get interesting… I think we’re about to see some bodies. Yesterday, the Federal Reserve announced another 25bps increase in interest rates.
Read MoreRelative Strength Update: Failing Bank Implications
After a tumultuous 2022, 2023 was off to a great start. Then banks threw a monkey wrench into the machine. Now the S&P has almost erased its impressive YTD gains, several banks are failing, and the prospect of a worldwide banking crisis looms… In times like these, it’s easy to become emotional and get caught…
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