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The Two Events That Could be More Significant Than NVIDIA’s Earnings Report

By Avalon Team | February 22, 2024 | 0

The treasury bond auction of 20-year paper and the January FOMC meeting minutes deserve a second look.

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Hotter-than-Expected CPI Sends Stocks and Bonds Lower

By Avalon Team | February 15, 2024 | 0

The Fed watches core CPI, the CPI excluding food and beverages. What it would like to see is 2.0 percent inflation. The last three core readings were 4.0 percent, 3.9 percent, and 3.9 percent.

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What This 123-Year-Old Theory is Saying About the Stock Market

By Avalon Team | February 12, 2024 | 0

One of the basic tenets of Dow Theory – first postulated by Charles Dow in 1901 – is that indices or market averages must confirm each other.

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This Could be One of the Most Compelling Macro Trades of the Year

By Avalon Team | February 7, 2024 | 0

For the better part of the last two years, market analysts have been pointing to the inverted yield curve and the implication of a likely recession – and now it appears to be de-inverting.

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Earnings reports, the FOMC meeting, and a look at regional banks

By Avalon Team | February 2, 2024 | 0

What this week’s earnings reports from Big Tech and a FOMC meeting could mean for investors.

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Don’t be Fooled by “Recency Bias”

By Avalon Team | January 25, 2024 | 0

According to the Natixis Investment Managers global survey of individual investors, investors expect over 12% after inflation. Expectations versus reality… quite the divergence.

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Is Now the Time to Invest in Gold?

By Avalon Team | January 23, 2024 | 0

Despite gold flirting near all-time highs, gold stocks have seriously underperformed the market.

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Sector Analysis Shows New Leadership Emerging in 2024

By Avalon Team | January 17, 2024 | 0

The markets spent most of the 4th quarter of 2023 rallying, but 2024 has seen a complete about-face.

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What Relative Strength is Telling Us About the Market

By Avalon Team | January 10, 2024 | 0

One of the easiest ways to stay on the “right side of the market” is to simply pay attention to the relative strength of the various asset categories.

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The Three Seasonal Patterns Investors Need to Watch

By Avalon Team | January 9, 2024 | 0

The Trifecta consist of the “Santa Claus Rally,” the “First 5 Days” and the “January Barometer.”

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