Posts Tagged ‘market news’
Are We Seeing a Turning Point in Interest Rates?
The fear on Wall Street has hit a feverish pitch. Sentiment surveys have reached levels of bearishness not seen since October 2022.
Read MoreThere’s a Lot Riding on the Current Regime Change
Regime changes are hard. Take, for instance, the current regime change from disinflation and falling rates to inflation and rising rates. As the previous regime lasted for over 40 years, there is a generation of investors who know nothing other than that experience. What makes regime changes difficult is that it requires investors to “unlearn”…
Read MoreTrick or treat? What we’re looking at as we head into October
September has a bad reputation as market seasonality suggests that September can often be expected to be a negative month for the markets.
Read MoreKeep Calm and Carry On – It’s Just a Market Cycle
Everybody needs to settle down! YES, the stock market is messy – and it’s not trending higher. I’m sure for many investors that’s both frustrating and scary.
Read MoreMore pain in Bondland
Bonds are having a bad day. In the aftermath of yesterday’s meeting of the Federal Reserve, rates are moving higher causing both stocks and bonds to move lower.
Read MoreThe Trouble with Bonds
Whatever the Federal Reserve’s current and future decisions are regarding interest rates, it’s an important reminder that the Fed only controls the direction of short-term interest rates. The market controls the longer end of the curve. U.S. Treasury bond yields are a function of three factors: term premium, inflation, and economic growth expectations. Term premium,…
Read MoreThe Death of 60/40: Where are we now?
At the beginning of 2022, I wrote a series, “The Death of 60/40.” The thesis was pretty simple. Real yields on bonds were negative, stocks were richly valued by historical measure, and the Fed had unleashed a monetary storm resulting in rising inflation. My conclusion that traditional stock and bond portfolios, especially passive index portfolios,…
Read MoreForecasting September in Four Charts
By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, we take a step back and put things into the context of trends. The trend is our friend.
Read MoreThe Rise of Direct Indexing: A Game Changer in Modern Investing
Discover the advantages of direct indexing as we delve into this powerful investment strategy while exploring its promising future.
Read More3 Signs That the Market Is Looking Bullish for September
The market is giving investors some reasons to be bullish for September, but the market can change quickly, so be prepared for anything.
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