The Death of 60/40: Where are we now?

At the beginning of 2022, I wrote a series, “The Death of 60/40.” The thesis was pretty simple. Real yields on bonds were negative, stocks were richly valued by historical measure, and the Fed had unleashed a monetary storm resulting in rising inflation. My conclusion that traditional stock and bond portfolios, especially passive index portfolios,…

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Inflation Has Not Peaked Yet

Consumer Price Index (CPI) data was released yesterday and it’s a doozy. In case you missed it… the CPI climbed to 9.1%. That’s a 41-year high. Not only is inflation at a four-decade high, but the momentum with which it has happened has the Fed scrambling for answers. The increase in consumer prices in June…

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What Are Yields Telling Us About Inflation

We all know that Washington plans to spend their way out of this COVID hangover. And the more money they print the higher inflation ultimately should be – right?  Just last week we saw historic readings in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Yet yields pointing lower!  Check out these important ratio charts below. If inflation…

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