Posts Tagged ‘commodities’
Trick or treat? What we’re looking at as we head into October
September has a bad reputation as market seasonality suggests that September can often be expected to be a negative month for the markets.
Read MoreForecasting September in Four Charts
By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, we take a step back and put things into the context of trends. The trend is our friend.
Read MoreSome Good News for Commodities
In case you hadn’t noticed, Commodities have come under a lot of pressure since June. However, there is some good news for Commodities. The recent sell-off in these inflationary assets is beginning to subside – and not surprisingly, it is happening at very logical prices. These are positive developments for the Bulls, as the appetite…
Read MoreWe’re Seeing a Bid In Bonds
This will be interesting to any of you bond buyers out there… After a historic meltdown in the first half of 2022, bonds (expressed via Treasuries) are catching a bid. We can debate all day long why Treasuries are seeing strong demand, but what isn’t up for debate is price… and it’s rising. Take a…
Read MoreNow Is Not the Time to Be Greedy
With a PhD in economics, “Dr. Copper” is widely followed as an important economic barometer. Demand for Copper is known to foreshadow things to come. And in an ominous sign, Copper is breaking down. One method to visualize this breakdown is through a simple Relative Strength comparison. Check out this chart comparing the Relative Strength…
Read MoreStart Sharpe(ning) Your Investment Skills
Good portfolio management begins and ends with risk management. In last week’s ADAPT, we discussed the importance of understanding maximum drawdown, a key stat that can determine the likelihood that an investor can stick with an investment strategy through both good times and bad… And why it’s important to keep that number as low as…
Read MoreIt’s Time We Looked Beyond Returns
Last week my kids had Spring Break and we visited a theme park. I rode every single roller coaster. I was hurled from 0–50mph in 2.8 seconds, dropped from over 100 feet, and sent upside down and backward at 70mph. While it made for an exciting vacation, I want my investing experience to be exactly…
Read MoreValue Is the New Growth
I’ve said it before: You can’t score from the 50-yard line if you’re calling plays that work best from the 20-yard line. You need the right playbook for the right spot on the field. Investors are guilty of making the same mistake. Far too many investors are still using the playbook designed to work in…
Read MoreHow to Build an All-Weather Portfolio
In my recent series, “The Death of 60/40,” I cautioned investors that traditional asset-allocation strategies that have worked in recent years would begin to fail. We’re not even three months into the year so far and the classic 60/40 is down more than 10%, on pace for the worst drubbing since the financial crisis of…
Read MoreOverlooking This One Sector Could Really Cost You
Technical analysis is all about seeing what IS happening in the market, not what MIGHT happen in the market. I’ve never met anyone who made money based on what might be… just what is. That’s a big reason why we focus our efforts on technical analysis. I’d rather find something that’s working. Why complicate it?…
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