Don’t Fight the Fed

Ask any market technician about the late, great, Marty Zweig and you’ll hear about a time-tested set of trading rules that are just as relevant today as they were when Marty first put pen to paper. For example, the #1 rule: The trend is your friend, don’t fight the tape. This is at the very…

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This Is a Market of Stocks – Not a Stock Market

Have you noticed that the financial media can’t get enough Doom & Gloom?  Every headline is another big loser. Another miss. Another crash. The media knows what buttons to push – they’re masters at it.  And they’re up to their old tricks again… I hope you’re not falling for it.  Let’s break the cycle starting…

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Are Investors Too Optimistic?

Stocks rallied last week into last Friday’s close – an encouraging development!  But dare I say… investors are optimistic.  You see, if you’ve been paying attention, you’d know that many Fridays this year have experienced sizable sell-offs.  Why? Because traders wanted no part in holding positions over the weekend. The risk was too great.  What…

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Here’s What an Aggressive Fed Means for the Housing Market

Following last Thursday’s very impressive upside move, investors were looking for confirmation with some follow-through on Friday.  Unfortunately, that never happened… All the excitement and talk of engulfing patterns and upside reversals were all for naught, as stocks did what they have done many times throughout the bear of 2022…  They sold off. Inflation data…

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Watch What They Do, Not What They Say

Investor sentiment can be a valuable contrarian indicator.  The idea is that when everyone is either too Bullish or too Bearish (as they are now) it implies that it may be time to consider the other side of what the majority is thinking. We gauge the level of Bullishness/Bearishness through sentiment surveys… and when levels…

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Let’s Look Ahead to October and Q4

Today is the last day of September, and you know what that means – it’s the last day of the month and the last day of Q3. So get ready, because next week is where we’ll do a deep dive into everything from asset class and sector strength to market breadth and investor sentiment.  Consider…

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It’s As Simple As Following Price

YOU DON’T FIGHT THE FED. It’s a long-standing market adage.  But so too should be: FOLLOW PRICE. At the end of the day, only price matters.  I bring that to your attention as an important, critical reminder to never lose sight of what’s important.  Because, regardless of all the talk of rate hikes, recessions, housing,…

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