It’s As Simple As Following Price

YOU DON’T FIGHT THE FED. It’s a long-standing market adage.  But so too should be: FOLLOW PRICE. At the end of the day, only price matters.  I bring that to your attention as an important, critical reminder to never lose sight of what’s important.  Because, regardless of all the talk of rate hikes, recessions, housing,…

Read More

This Has Everything to Do with Rising Rates

In case you missed the memo, 2022 has been all about rising bond yields. It’s undeniable. We can’t talk about stocks without including a conversation about the bond market.  More specifically, the direction of bond yields. Yields are once again pushing up against their June highs, so investors must understand the correlation between the equity…

Read More

How to Behave When the Dollar Remains Strong

Don’t make the mistake of not reading today’s message to investors… I know I’ve written to you more than once about this, but I’m doing it again because it’s that important! The value of the U.S. Dollar (USD) is the strongest it has been in a generation.  Now that may sound great to some, but…

Read More

It’s Time to Sit Tech On the Bench

There’s an important seasonal tendency we’re going to focus on today because it’s September 1, and that’s when one particular sector often struggles the most. You see, September is typically one of the worst months for the Technology sector – on both an absolute and relative basis. Let me show you what I mean. This…

Read More

There Is No One-Size-Fits-All In Investing

The S&P 500 index just staged a very impressive rally off the June lows. Not only did prices rally, but we saw some much-improved breadth conditions – meaning more stocks have participated in the June rally than did in April/May. Healthy Bull Markets require broad stock participation – and as you can see, the percentage…

Read More

Some Good News for Commodities

In case you hadn’t noticed, Commodities have come under a lot of pressure since June. However, there is some good news for Commodities. The recent sell-off in these inflationary assets is beginning to subside – and not surprisingly, it is happening at very logical prices. These are positive developments for the Bulls, as the appetite…

Read More

Always Focus On the Weight of the Evidence

At Rowe Wealth, our approach is to always focus on the weight of the evidence.  Remain unbiased and follow price behavior.  Avoid the news and the headlines – the media is not your friend. Start each day from scratch and gather the evidence.    We ask ourselves:  What does the weight of the evidence tell us…

Read More

Kiss the Fed-Pivot Goodbye

Last week’s labor market report gave the Fed a giant green light to continue its aggressive assault on inflation. So you can just forget the Fed pivot anytime soon.  That means tighter conditions and further demand destruction… Contingent to this week’s CPI report, last week’s labor market data implies a more aggressive Fed going forward…

Read More

It’s Still a Dollar Story

Any way you slice it, it all still comes down to the dollar.  We can talk about interest rates, the Yen, and inversions – there are all kinds of interesting relationships… But none of them may be as important as the impact the direction of the U.S.Dollar has on risk assets around the world. I…

Read More