Posts Tagged ‘economic volatility’
No Banks, No Bull
Regardless of daily headlines about the current direction of equity markets, what the Fed is thinking, or what Elon is doing, there are a few tried and true rules that remain pretty consistent. And one of those rules is that without banks, there are no bull markets. That doesn’t mean banks have to be the…
Read MoreThe Most Important Story in Finance No One Is Talking About
The most profound seismic shift in the global monetary bedrock in decades is happening right now, right before our very eyes… and no one seems to notice or care. But eventually, they’ll have to. As I’ve been warning investors, we are rapidly shifting into a new regime. Inflation is forcing the Fed’s policy hand in…
Read MoreMost Investors Aren’t Prepared for What Comes Next
Thus far 2022 is giving investors very few places to hide… Friday’s free-fall capped the worst month for the S&P 500 since the COVID crash in 2020 and the NASDAQ just experienced its worst month since 2008. There are 10 index charts here – pick one, any one – not one of them is in…
Read MoreHow to Know Your Investment Outcome in Advance
Growing up, I loved to watch and play baseball and I was an avid baseball card collector, but it wasn’t until I was in my teens that I recognized the importance of all of those statistics kept for each player. Being numbers-oriented as I am and a baseball enthusiast, it was only natural I would…
Read MoreThis Market Calls for Defense & Caution
Here’s what sector performance looks like right now: Consumer Discretionaries (XLY) is down -13.2%. Technology (XLK) is down -16.32%. Communications Services (XLC) is off by -19.78% year-to-date… And it’s still only April! Think about this for a minute… These three sectors XLY, XLK, and XLC account for two-thirds of the market cap of the S&P…
Read MoreHere’s What Netflix Is Signaling for the Rest of the Market
On Tuesday, Netflix reported earnings that disappointed the Street. As a result, the stock imploded, dropping by over 25%. Netflix shares have been part of the “club” – the mega-cap market leaders known as the FAANGMs (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix Google, and Microsoft). First, Facebook disappointed. Now it’s Netflix. The Generals are getting shot one…
Read MoreWhen Seasonal Patterns Fail, Take Notice
March’s epic bounce in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ offered promise – that is, until it didn’t. With all the noise, both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ are right back where they were a month ago, and heading towards the March lows. But why? Both indexes have given back nearly all of March’s gains and…
Read MoreStay Cautious, Investors
Sometimes it’s good to be long, sometimes it’s the time to be short… And other times, it’s time to go fishing. Let’s take a look at some key takeaways from today’s markets: Lack of follow-through evident beneath the surface Risk-off environment persists Defensive sectors gaining strength Last month’s equity market bounce was impressive at the…
Read MoreMarkets Don’t Go Up Forever
Trees don’t grow to the sky and markets don’t go up forever. Over the course of a lifetime, an investor is likely to experience both bullish and bearish cycles. As defined by Investopedia: “A bull market is a market that is on the rise and where the conditions of the economy are generally favorable. A…
Read MoreWhy Not Have Systems for Investing?
Systems exist everywhere. In nature, we find almost an infinite number of hierarchical, interconnecting ecosystems that play key roles by which energy is transported and transformed. In society, we find that systems can provide for organization and guidance for human interactions. Take for instance how we drive – we follow a precise system. Here in…
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