The Death of 60/40: Where are we now?

At the beginning of 2022, I wrote a series, “The Death of 60/40.” The thesis was pretty simple. Real yields on bonds were negative, stocks were richly valued by historical measure, and the Fed had unleashed a monetary storm resulting in rising inflation. My conclusion that traditional stock and bond portfolios, especially passive index portfolios,…

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It’s Still a Dollar Story

Any way you slice it, it all still comes down to the dollar.  We can talk about interest rates, the Yen, and inversions – there are all kinds of interesting relationships… But none of them may be as important as the impact the direction of the U.S.Dollar has on risk assets around the world. I…

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