The Rules Have Changed

Earlier in the week, I mentioned a very classic market pattern playing out in the equity indexes. I think it warrants a deeper review.  Why? Because 2022 is not 2020, or even 2021, or virtually any other year going back a decade…  Any investor still living under the illusion that we’re in the same investment…

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Bear Markets Are Nothing to Fear

This year’s stock market has been unlike many have seen in their lifetimes.  Dramatic declines have been followed by powerful rallies… but at the end of the day, the net trend of the market has been lower.     At its recent low, the S&P 500 is down 18% from the beginning of the year.    This has…

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They Want You to Lose – I Want You to Win

It’s Chris here with a very important message… While it may appear that demand is finally in control at the moment… it’s almost guaranteed to be temporary.  It’s incredibly important that you don’t lose sight of the fact that it leads to the setup of the greatest, easiest, most obvious Bearish trades this summer.  People…

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Watch Out for Bear Traps

I’ve been around long enough to have navigated through my share of Bear Markets. I was first rudely introduced to the Bear during the infamous Tech-Wreck.  And I can tell you from personal experience, that it was quite a learning experience – an expensive one at that. But maybe those are the best lessons… There…

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Are Stocks Ready To Bounce?

We’ve had our eye on the 3800 level in the S&P 500 as an area of logical support. Assuming the index finds support at 3800, it sets up the possibility for a bounce-back up to the 4200 level before running into any serious overhead resistance. At the end of last Friday’s trading session, the index…

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Buy the Dips or Sell the Rallies?

Earlier this week, I put out a short video addressing current market conditions using price, breadth, and Relative Strength ratios as our guide.  The reasons we had moved all but a small portion of investor funds to the safety of cash are still very much in play, and based on the data, we believe the…

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No Banks, No Bull

Regardless of daily headlines about the current direction of equity markets, what the Fed is thinking, or what Elon is doing, there are a few tried and true rules that remain pretty consistent. And one of those rules is that without banks, there are no bull markets.  That doesn’t mean banks have to be the…

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Most Investors Aren’t Prepared for What Comes Next

Thus far 2022 is giving investors very few places to hide… Friday’s free-fall capped the worst month for the S&P 500 since the COVID crash in 2020 and the NASDAQ just experienced its worst month since 2008.  There are 10 index charts here – pick one, any one – not one of them is in…

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