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Are Stocks Ready To Bounce?
We’ve had our eye on the 3800 level in the S&P 500 as an area of logical support. Assuming the index finds support at 3800, it sets up the possibility for a bounce-back up to the 4200 level before running into any serious overhead resistance. At the end of last Friday’s trading session, the index…
Read MoreAre You Recession-Ready?
Are we headed for a recession? The growing evidence that suggests the answer to this question is, unfortunately, yes. U.S. GDP fell at a 1.4% annual rate in the first quarter – another quarter of negative growth would officially mark a recession. Those who think a recession can be avoided are of the groupthink that…
Read MoreBuy the Dips or Sell the Rallies?
Earlier this week, I put out a short video addressing current market conditions using price, breadth, and Relative Strength ratios as our guide. The reasons we had moved all but a small portion of investor funds to the safety of cash are still very much in play, and based on the data, we believe the…
Read MoreMay Market Video Update
We Are Facing a Period of Incredible Change
As we’ve outlined previously, we’re in a period of incredible change. Disinflation has been replaced with inflation. Interest rates are now rising, ceasing a 40-year trend in falling rates. The Fed is now removing liquidity from the economy which could push us over the edge into a recession. These shifts are significant and will continue…
Read MoreNo Banks, No Bull
Regardless of daily headlines about the current direction of equity markets, what the Fed is thinking, or what Elon is doing, there are a few tried and true rules that remain pretty consistent. And one of those rules is that without banks, there are no bull markets. That doesn’t mean banks have to be the…
Read MoreThe Most Important Story in Finance No One Is Talking About
The most profound seismic shift in the global monetary bedrock in decades is happening right now, right before our very eyes… and no one seems to notice or care. But eventually, they’ll have to. As I’ve been warning investors, we are rapidly shifting into a new regime. Inflation is forcing the Fed’s policy hand in…
Read MoreMost Investors Aren’t Prepared for What Comes Next
Thus far 2022 is giving investors very few places to hide… Friday’s free-fall capped the worst month for the S&P 500 since the COVID crash in 2020 and the NASDAQ just experienced its worst month since 2008. There are 10 index charts here – pick one, any one – not one of them is in…
Read MoreHow to Know Your Investment Outcome in Advance
Growing up, I loved to watch and play baseball and I was an avid baseball card collector, but it wasn’t until I was in my teens that I recognized the importance of all of those statistics kept for each player. Being numbers-oriented as I am and a baseball enthusiast, it was only natural I would…
Read MoreThis Market Calls for Defense & Caution
Here’s what sector performance looks like right now: Consumer Discretionaries (XLY) is down -13.2%. Technology (XLK) is down -16.32%. Communications Services (XLC) is off by -19.78% year-to-date… And it’s still only April! Think about this for a minute… These three sectors XLY, XLK, and XLC account for two-thirds of the market cap of the S&P…
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